Matej Kalc
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Project overview · Project year 2021

CTR Prediction at Scale

Compared neural and factorization models for click-through-rate prediction on Outbrain data.

My role: BSc thesis author

Outcome

Built and tuned multiple model families with Bayesian optimization on HPC resources.

Model quality under a compute budget

My 2021 bachelor’s thesis, Evaluating Model Tradeoffs for Click Prediction, compared model families on Outbrain click data. I implemented and tuned neural and factorization approaches, using HPC resources and Bayesian optimization to examine the tradeoff between prediction quality and execution time.

The evaluation compared AUC and runtime before and after tuning. Those two axes matter together: a small improvement in ranking quality can come with a substantial increase in computation, and tuning can change the ordering of model families.

Research outcome and scope

The thesis provides the experiment design, model comparisons, and conclusions in Chapters 3–5. It is evidence of experimental modeling and tuning, not an advertising revenue or deployed click-through-rate uplift. The date shown here follows the thesis cover, Ljubljana, 2021; an earlier portfolio label of 2022 was unsupported.

Technology focus

  • CTR Modeling
  • Deep Learning
  • Bayesian Tuning

Evidence and further reading

Evidence reviewed . Project year is separate from this review date.

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